TOWARDS AN EARLY SOFTWARE ESTIMATION USING LOG-LINEAR REGRESSION AND A MULTILAYER PERCEPTRON MODEL
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a b s t r a c t
Software estimation is a tedious and daunting task in project management and software
development. Software estimators are notorious in predicting software effort and they have been
struggling in the past decades to provide new models to enhance software estimation. The most
critical and crucial part of software estimation is when estimation is required in the early stages
of the software life cycle where the problem to be solved has not yet been completely revealed.
This paper presents a novel log-linear regression model based on the use case point model
(UCP) to calculate the software effort based on use case diagrams. A fuzzy logic approach is
used to calibrate the productivity factor in the regression model. Moreover, a multilayer
perceptron (MLP) neural network model was developed to predict software effort based on the
software size and team productivity. Experiments show that the proposed approach out- performs
the original UCP model. Furthermore, a comparison between the MLP and log-linear regression
models was conducted based on the size of the projects. Results demonstrate that the MLP
model can surpass the regression model when small projects are used, but the log-linear
regression model gives better results when estimating larger projects.
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